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Forecasting Rapeseed and Mustard Production In Pakistan: A Time Series Approach

Forecasting Rapeseed and Mustard Production In Pakistan: A Time Series Approach

Zahid Iqbal*, Farhat Ullah Khan and Jalal-ud-Din

Department of Statistics, Allama Iqbal Open University, Islamabad, Pakistan.

 
*Correspondence | Zahid Iqbal, Associate Professor, Department of Statistics, Allama Iqbal Open University, Islamabad, Pakistan; Email: Zahid.iqbal@aiou.edu.pk

Figure 1:

Production of rapeseed and mustard in Pakistan from 1947-48 to 2014-15.

Figure 2:

Histogram for Production of Rapeseed & Mustard in Pakistan from 1947-48 to 2014-15.

Figure 3:

Histogram and normality test for the residuals of AR model (1,0,0).

Figure 4:

Plot of autocorrelation function and partial autocorrelation function of residuals.

Figure 5:

Plot of observed, fitted, and forecasted values.

Table 2:

Correlogram for production of rapeseed & mustard in Pakistan.

Equation 1
Equation 2
Equation 3
Equation 4
Equation 5
Equation 6
Equation 7
Equation 8

Sarhad Journal of Agriculture

September

Vol.40, Iss. 3, Pages 680-1101

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