Simple Markov Model for Estimating the Growth of Nonreligion in the United States
Simple Markov Model for Estimating the Growth of Nonreligion in the United States
John Stinespring, Ryan T. Cragun*
Figure 1
Change in proportions of converts to religion, religious exiters, and the nonreligious, 1973-2012. (Source: GSS.)
Figure 2
Nonreligious share of US population, with predictions and calibrations
Conversion rate
Leaving rate
For nonreligion
for religion
9 footnote a
9 footnote b
June 2015
Vol. 2, Special Iss. 3 Pages 1-159
